The market moved

-4.0ppin 24h · now 23¢

Will the Bears win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Sports · resolves Jan 12 · vol $239.92

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.