The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 90 by April 30?

Crypto · resolves May 1 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on polylayer.xyz — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: polylayer.xyz — https://polylayer.xyz/crvix/btc.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.