Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on the to the percentage of party list votes cdu/csu (cdu/csu-fraktion im deutschen bundestag) wins in the next german parl — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the to the percentage of party list votes CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins in the next German parl — https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.