The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the CDU/CSU win by less than 2%?
Other · resolves Feb 23 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the margin of victory between the cdu/csu (cdu/csu-fraktion im deutschen bundestag) compared with the second place pa — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the margin of victory between the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) compared with the second place pa — https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.