The market moved

+4.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?

Other · resolves Jan 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the amount of basis points the target for the monetary policy rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the amount of basis points the target for the monetary policy rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the — https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.