Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the july 2026 meeting of the central b — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Central B — https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.