Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the july 2026 meeting of the central b — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Central B — https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.