Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.9pp shift. Resolution depends on elections.bc.ca — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: elections.bc.ca — https://elections.bc.ca/2024-provincial-election/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.