The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 97¢

Will the Democratic Party win the GA-05 House seat?

Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $83.45

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 97¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.fec.gov/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.