The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 13¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 13¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the popular vote margin of victory between the democratic party and the republican party in the us house of represent — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Represent — https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.