Will the earnings call not air?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 45.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the next earnings announcement of netflix currently scheduled to take place on july 16, 2026 at 4:45 pm est — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the next earnings announcement of Netflix currently scheduled to take place on July 16, 2026 at 4:45 PM EST — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.