The market moved
+93.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?
Entertainment · resolves May 16 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 93.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://eurovision.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.