The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now 28¢

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

Macro · resolves Jan 19 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 28¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on ecb — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: ecb — https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.