The market moved

+1.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the Eurozone's annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in December?

Macro · resolves Jan 19 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number the harmonised index of consumer prices (hicp) increased by over the 12-month period ending december 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) increased by over the 12-month period ending December 2025 — https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.