The market moved
-0.6ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 16, 2026?
Other · resolves Apr 16 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on to the calendar date (et) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.