Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.