The market moved

+46.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Crypto · resolves Oct 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 46.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.