The market moved

-36.0ppin 24h · now 14¢

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph?

Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $389.18

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 36.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of mt — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt — https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.