The market moved
-5.5ppin 24h · now 39¢
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 115 mph?
Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 39¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of mt — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt — https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.