The market moved
-7.5ppin 24h · now 43¢
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of mt — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt — https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.