The market moved

-32.0ppin 24h · now

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?

Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $57.38

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 32.0pp shift. Resolution depends on agi.safe.ai — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: agi.safe.ai — https://agi.safe.ai/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.