The market moved
-8.5ppin 24h · now 19¢
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $1.1K
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 19¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on agi.safe.ai — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: agi.safe.ai — https://agi.safe.ai/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.