The market moved
+28.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · resolves Apr 9 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 28.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://eci.gov.in).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.