The market moved

-6.5ppin 24h · now

Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Politics · resolves Jun 6 · vol $165.48

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://ine.mx/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.