The market moved
+32.0ppin 24h · now 95¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Geopolitics · resolves May 28 · vol $65.2K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 95¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 32.0pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: US government.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.