The market moved
+0.8ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.8pp shift. Resolution depends on irs.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: irs.gov — https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-irs-data-book).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.