The market moved
+4.0ppin 24h · now 18¢
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?
Politics · resolves Jul 1 · vol $7.2K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 18¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on portal.jne.gob.pe — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: portal.jne.gob.pe — https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal_documentos/files/637a2dda-73ba-4abc-95bf-294f14d454bb.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.