The market moved
-12.5ppin 24h · now 41¢
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Politics · resolves Nov 7 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 41¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://elections.nz/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.