The market moved
+16.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will the Las Vegas Raiders earn the 1st pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Sports · resolves Jan 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nfl.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nfl.com — https://operations.nfl.com/journey-to-the-nfl/the-nfl-draft/the-rules-of-the-draft/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.