The market moved

+7.5ppin 24h · now 12¢

Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Entertainment · resolves Sep 14 · vol $3.0K

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 12¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://theemmys.tv/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.