Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.2%?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 56.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.