The market moved
-19.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between ≥4.3%?
Macro · resolves Apr 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 19.4pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.