The market moved
+0.1ppin 24h · now 29¢
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 1:00-2:59?
Other · resolves Jul 26 · vol $12.22
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 29¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible sources — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible sources.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.