Will the match not air?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.4pp shift. Resolution depends on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.