The market moved
+14.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?
Other · resolves Apr 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the maximum arctic sea ice extent for all days between november 20, 2025 and april 1, 2026, as published by the natio — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the maximum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between November 20, 2025 and April 1, 2026, as published by the Natio — https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.