The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 28¢
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
Macro · resolves Jun 5 · vol $2.52
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 28¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.