The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 31¢

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?

Other · resolves Sep 30 · vol $109.68

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 31¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the median home value for all property types in the los angeles metro area on september 30, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026 — https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.