The market moved

-26.6ppin 24h · now 12¢

Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?

Other · resolves Sep 30 · vol $89.36

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 26.6pp shift. Resolution depends on to the median home value for all property types in new york city, new york on september 30, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026 — https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.