The market moved

-19.5ppin 24h · now 25¢

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?

Other · resolves Sep 30 · vol $2.4K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 25¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 19.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the median home value for all property types in chicago metro, il on september 30, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026 — https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.