Will the median home value in the US be between $429,000 and $431,000 on June 30?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 12¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the median home value for all property types in the united states on june 30, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026 — https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.