Will the median home value in the US be greater than $418,000 by February 1?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to the median home value for all property types in the united states on february 1, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the median home value for all property types in the United States on February 1, 2026 — https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/6).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.