Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on coinbase (exchange price) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Coinbase (exchange price) — https://www.coinbase.com/token-sales/monad.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.