The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 35¢

Will the most viewed episode of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 7.5 million and 8 million viewers?

Other · resolves Aug 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 35¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of u — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of U — https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.