The market moved

+27.9ppin 24h · now 28¢

Will the most viewed episode of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 2.75 million and 3 million viewers?

Other · resolves Aug 20 · vol $67.99

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 27.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of u — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of U — https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.