The market moved
-2.8ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will the most viewed episode of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 3.25 million and 3.5 million viewers?
Other · resolves Aug 20 · vol $20.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of u — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of U — https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.