The market moved

-49.5ppin 24h · now

Will the most viewed TV show for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 9 million and 9.5 million viewers?

Entertainment · resolves Aug 20 · vol $463.88

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 9¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 49.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of u — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of U — https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.