Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 19.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.ane-rca.org/).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.