The market moved
+8.0ppin 24h · now 35¢
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?
Politics · resolves Nov 7 · vol $13.43
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 35¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.