The market moved
+15.0ppin 24h · now 50¢
Will the next Pope be in favor of the German “Synodal Way”?
Other · resolves May 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 15.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://collegeofcardinalsreport.com/where-they-stand/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.