Will the No. 26 Vector Sport win the LMP2 class at the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 43.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 4.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.